The Lancet editorial (2026) (pdf Volume 407, Issue 10523, 1)
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IZA Discussion Paper No. 17534
Access to working paper 2024 (pdf)
Photo Jordi Soldevila. Merry Christmas
Editorial: The demand for health turns 50: Reflections Michael Grossman
Michael Grossman and the Demand for Health Model
The Demand for Health introduced a new theoretical model for determining the health status of the population. His work uniquely synthesized economic and public health knowledge and has catalyzed a vastly influential body of health economics literature.Mental health and war: brief review (article pdf) (2006)
photo: Emilio Morenatti
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There are large, persistent differences in patient outcomes across physicians and health facilities. The root causes of these differences are not well understood. One reason could be to find if physicians’ health management styles can affect patient health outcomes and health costs.
As quality contracts become increasingly popular across various health care systems, it is important to highlight what facets of individual physicians’ health management styles have meaningful impact on health outcomes and to what extent they vary across physicians. The physician’s ability to correctly diagnose and treat common conditions is one of the central tenets of quality contracts. But the link between these skills and patient outcomes is at best tenuous. Critics have emphasized that unobserved patient-specific characteristics are important and under-researched contributors to the variability of patient health outcomes conditional on physician clinical skill.
Emilia Simeonova et al. published a working paper in 2020 in the NBER where using data on the population of statin users in Denmark between 2004 and 2008 and matching patients to their primary care physicians, they demostrated that
Access to NBER working paper (pdf)
photo: Homenatge a Ramon Llull (1976) Josep M. Subirachs ______________________________________________________________________
Koula Asimakopoulou et al. from King’s College London investigated comparative optimism for infection and recovery from COVID-19, and the implications this may have on the second wave and the possible lockdown. The study found that during the first lockdown period, most respondents believed that compared to others, they were unlikely to be at risk of COVID-19.
Data were collected through an international survey (N = 6485) exploring people’s thoughts and psychosocial behaviours relating to COVID‐19. The paper reports UK data.
They found the belief that negative events surrounding risk and recovery from COVID‐19 are perceived as more likely to happen to others rather than to oneself. Researchers believe that comparative optimism may have brought out the anecdotally observed, lack of compliance with lockdown guidelines in the UK. People who believe COVID‐19 is less likely to happen to them than to others may infer that their actual risk is much smaller than that communicated in the media, and thus the strict adherence to lockdown restrictions is unnecessary in their case.
The results showed how participants overwhelmingly believed that as compared to people of their age and gender, they were somewhat or extremely unlikely to have accidentally infected people with COVID‐19 in the past and to infect others or get infected themselves in the next month. They were also comparatively optimistic, but to a lesser extent, about their likelihood of getting hospitalized due to COVID‐19, finding themselves in an ICU, being ventilated, and making a full recovery.
In contrast, participants showed comparative pessimism about COVID‐19 infections in the more distant future. As compared to the average person of their age and gender they felt likely to get infected by COVID‐19 in the next year and to develop COVID‐19‐related symptoms. The authors argued that this finding supports earlier research that shows that people who have experienced some ill health tend to unduly exaggerate their future risk of experiencing further ill health. One important difference between COVID‐19 and other risks is that controlling the pandemic was very much placed in the hands of individuals restricting their lives in the UK—as seen in the slogan urging people to ‘Stay at home’. It is reasonable that participants would reason that in the long term, staying at home would be less possible, plausible or practical. Feeling that compliance with social distancing rules cannot be maintained indefinitely may thus explain these perceptions, in line with research showing that high prevalence negative events may engender comparative pessimism.
The implication for a second lockdown is that where people's experience so far may be that they have not been ill with COVID, they are likely to be even more comparatively optimistic than they were in March. Thinking that COVID has not happened to you so far so it is unlikely to happen to you now, can be even more dangerous than it was earlier in the spring. Both comparative optimism and comparative pessimism may have important consequences for people’s psychological well‐being and their likelihood of engaging in risk behaviours or responding to further lockdown measures.
Acces article (pdf free) Comparative optimism about infection and recovery from COVID‐19; Implications for adherence with lockdown advice
Acces Full issue (pdf) CICE Issue (2018)
- The arrival of new technologies with innovative mechanisms and health financing decisions.
- Areas of public-private collaboration in health systems. focusing on continuing medical education, health research and health care management.
- The healthcare management, its quality and the consideration of the impact of this quality on health outcomes.
- The hospital expenditure and hospitalization evolution in the Spanish National Health System (SNS), during the period 2004-2009 and 2010-2015, analyzing their trends and medical practice variability between health areas.
- Coordination between the health care system and the long-term care system.
- Public health go beyond the performance of health care services. Health problems are global and require actions at a global level.
- Good governance is a prerequisite for changing the health policy and the design of the National Health System in the right direction. Good governance in terms of: prioritization, comprehensive health policy, leadership, national health agency, and cultural and intellectual environment.
- Economic crisis and health: lessons learned and recommendations for the future,
